EXPERT REPORT
FINANCIAL ANALYTICS
The purpose of this article is to determine the influence of the portfolio structure on the stability of insurance companies’ activity. With this objective, we examined how the structure of insurance portfolio affects the risks of companies’ activity.
The author has proved that if insurance companies focus on voluntary property insurance it increases the probability of revocation of their licenses. These results were derived from a binary logistic regression using 112 observations. Parameters of insurance portfolio, as well as regional macroeconomic indicators that reflect the operating environment of the insurance business were used as variables for the model. Indicators of the insurance portfolio include voluntary and compulsory insurance. In the course of the research, it was revealed that one of the possible directions of development of insurance market regulation may be the organization of the mechanism of supervision over insurance companies, which allows soft impact on the structure of insurance portfolios in order to increase the stability of insurers. The introduction of this approach in regulation will allow the Bank of Russia to stimulate the development of the insurance market. Based on the results of the presented study, the Bank of Russia may develop guidelines to determine the optimal structure of the insurance portfolio. These recommendations can be one of the means of the surveillance policy over insurance companies. The orientation of the insurance company to certain types of insurance determines the stability of its functioning. In this regard, the Bank of Russia should develop an early warning system for disrupting the smooth functioning of the insurance company due to an incorrect focus on certain types of insurance.
In the article, the author analyzes the impact of factors affecting the global financial system in the payment sphere. The analysis is based on a comparison of the set of impact factors, as noted in the materials of the World Economic Forum, with trends in the development of payment infrastructure. We show the manifestation of this influence in various aspects and properties, both for separate payment systems, and the payment sphere as a whole.
The author notes that not only regulation based on international standards, but also changes in market conditions and technological innovations have a significant impact on the development of payment systems of central banks. The impact of factors in the Russian national payment system (NPS) and the role of the Bank of Russia are revealed.
The author concludes that the degree of influence of the factors manifested in the implementation of planned and possible measures for the development of the NPS can be estimated by the dynamics of growth (deviation) of the share of payment traffic carried out in significant payment infrastructures. Quantitative indicators of the NPS development, presented in terms of factors and related activities affecting the global financial system, make it possible to assess the degree of mutual influence.
MANAGEMENT
WORLD ECONOMY
ТЕОРЕТИЧЕСКИЙ АСПЕКТ
Behavioral economics is a field of research, where the analytical possibilities of psychology science are applied to the analysis of economic decision-making. This approach allows more in-depth analysis of the decision-making process of economic agents and opens up new opportunities for research aimed at increasing overall social benefits.
This article examines the studies of Richard Thaler, noted by the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2017, devoted to the study of three psychological features of economic man which systematically affect the behavior of economic agents: limited rationality, the perception of justice (social preferences), and the problem of selfcontrol.
Using the system approach, the author sets a goal to carry out a complex analysis of the theoretical, methodological and practical works of the Nobel Prize Laureate, that have received world recognition. The attention is also focused on the awarded Nobel Prize in connection with the peculiarities of the Nobel Committee’s policy of awarding that has been formed over the past few years, within the framework of the development of the world economic science.
The article systematizes Thaler’s scientific contribution to economics. In addition, it concludes that awarding of the Nobel Prize in 2017 fits into the overall picture of awards in the last few years. At the same time, it notes one of the main directions of the Nobel Committee’s activities related to the “definition” of such research results and programs that could rehabilitate economic science after the past economic crisis and prevent further increase in the uncertainty of the world economic system.
REAL SECTOR
ECONOMIC POLICY
ISSN 2220-7872 (Online)