Complex Analysis of the Value Chain of Russia’s Ferrous Metallurgy Based on the 2021 Interindustry Balance
https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2026-20-1-32-45
Abstract
Objective. The article under consideration presents a comprehensive analysis of the value chain of the Russian ferrous metallurgy industry based on the methodology of the inter-industry balance and input-output tables. The study reveals the economic role of the industry, the structure of production and consumer links, as well as sustainability in view of external constraints. Scenario modeling is utilised to evaluate the consequences of declining exports and the possibilities of compensation through domestic demand and import substitution. The scientific novelty of the research lies in its integration of inter-industry analysis with an assessment of the structural adaptability of the industry. The study employs a quantitative assessment of the links between sectors including calculation of full cost coefficients and multipliers. It is specifically applied to the Russian ferrous metallurgy sector in reference to the data of 2021. The findings emphasise the necessity for modernisation, in-depth processing and the development of internal industry links. Therefore, the authors suggest measures to be implemented for reducing raw material dependence, increasing added value and ensuring the sustainable development of metallurgy in the context of global transformations.
About the Authors
O. E. NavarroRussian Federation
Oleg E. Navarro — Technical Director
Moscow
A. A. Bykov
Belarus
Aliaksei A. Bykov — Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Professor, Vice-Rector for Research
Minsk
References
1. Leontief W. Quantitative Input and Output Relations in the Economic System of the United States. The Review of Economics and Statistics. 1936.;18(3):105–125.
2. Bykov A.A., Tolkachev S.A., Parkhimenko V.A., Shablinskaya T.V. China’s economic growth in 2010–2017: analysis using input-output methodology and modern monetary theory. Finance: Theory and Practice. 2021;25(2):166–184. (In Russ.) DOI: 10.26794/2587-5671-2021-25-2-166-184
3. Miller R.E., Blair P.D. Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions. — 2nd ed. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press; 2009. 750 p. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511626982
4. Ten Raa T. The Economics of Input-Output Analysis. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 2005. 212 с. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511610783
5. Gereffi G. Global Value Chain Analysis: A Primer. URL: https://dukespace.lib.duke.edu/items/e8010f4b-90c9-4835-bc54-16422bb7efb6
6. Knight D., Emelyanova O., Rostovtseva I. et al. Russian economic report 46 The World Bank. URL: https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099050011302118976/pdf/P17756206d40310aa0a5e109d6fa60bc55a. pdf
7. Baldwin R., Lopez-Gonzalez J. Supply-Chain Trade: A Portrait of Global Patterns and Several Testable Hypotheses. The World Economy. 2015;38(11):1682–1721. DOI: 10.1111/twec.12189
8. Myadzel V.S. Problems and prospects of development of the Russian metallurgy within the EAEU. Economic Relations. 2024;14(3):575–584. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.18334/eo.14.3.121375
9. Baldwin R. The Great Convergence: Information Technology and the New Globalization. Cambridge: Harvard University Press; 2016. 344 с.
Review
For citations:
Navarro O.E., Bykov A.A. Complex Analysis of the Value Chain of Russia’s Ferrous Metallurgy Based on the 2021 Interindustry Balance. The world of new economy. 2026;20(1):32-45. https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2026-20-1-32-45
JATS XML




























