Method of Selecting Threshold Values for Growth Rates of Economic Security Indicators
https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2025-19-4-28-38
Abstract
The relevance. Monitoring of economic security has recently become increasingly important due to the emergence of new challenges and threats associated with the complication of the geopolitical situation. One of the methodological aspects of monitoring is the selection of a system of indicators and justification of their threshold values. The purpose of the article is to develop a methodology for threshold values of economic security. The subject of the study includes an analysis of existing approaches to defining the concept of threshold values and justifying their values for various monitoring models, as well as barriers that arise in the process of such justification, and finding ways to overcome them. novelty of the study: a new method is proposed that uses a three-threshold model of monitoring economic security, and the growth rates of various socio-economic indicators as indicators. The first threshold is the threshold of system survival, the second threshold is associated with a possible violation of the stability of the system. The third threshold determines the target value of the indicator. The theoretical and practical significance of the study lies in the creation of a reliable tool for positioning economic security indicators, which can be effectively used, among other things, for analysing and forecasting economic crises.
About the Author
S. N. Mityakov
Nizhny Novgorod State Technical University named after R.E. Alekseev
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Sergey N. Mityakov — Dr. Sci. (Phys.-Math.), Professor, Director of the Institute of Economics and Management
Nizhny Novgorod
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Review
For citations:
Mityakov S.N. Method of Selecting Threshold Values for Growth Rates of Economic Security Indicators. The world of new economy. 2025;19(4):28-38. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2025-19-4-28-38
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