Econometric Analysis for Russia-Iran Foreign Trade Relations
https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2025-19-1-63-71
Abstract
The aim of the study is to examine the prospects for economic relations between Russia and Iran in the context of the latter’s transition to free trade within the EAEU.
The relevance of the article stems from the growing importance of international trade in the context of globalisation and the need to develop effective strategies for trade. According to the author, due to geopolitical instability and economic sanctions, the study of factors affecting foreign trade is particularly important for sustainable economic growth and diversification of export markets.
Methods. The research uses descriptive statistics and econometric analysis including the gravity approach.
Results. The econometric models in the article allow to confirm a strong potential for rapidly growing trade between Russia and Iran as a result of such an agreement sealed. The author also draws conclusions on the importance of efforts to promote economic integration and shows the need for further measures to develop the system of bilateral free trade agreements.
About the Author
A. S. Kozyrev
Consultant of Economic Department at the Trade Mission of the Russian Federation in the Islamic Republic of Iran
Islamic Republic of Iran
Islamic Republic of Iran
Aleksei S. Kozyrev
Tehran
References
1. Tinbergen J. Shaping the world economy: Suggestions for an international economic policy. New York, NY: Twentieth Century Fund; 1962. 330 p.
2. Anderson J. E., van Wincoop E. Gravity with gravitas: A solution to the border puzzle. American Economic Review. 2003;93(1):170–192. DOI: 10.1257/000282803321455214
3. Anderson J. E., van Wincoop E. Trade costs. Journal of Economic Literature. 2004;42(3):691–751. DOI: 10.1257/0022051042177649
4. Smirnov I. S. Gravity models in international trade analysis: testing the country similarity theory 50 years. Regional’nye issledovaniya. 2020;(2):52–62. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.5922/1994-5280-2020-2-4
5. Maksimenko I. V. The EAEU and Russia’s interests. Del’ta nauki = Delta Journal of Science. 2021;(2):26–28. (In Russ.).
6. Novikov M. V., Zemlyanskaya S. V. Free trade zone agreements between the eaeu and iran: trends, problems and development prospects. Vestnik Volgogradskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. Ekonomika = Journal of Volgograd State University. Economics. 2022;24(4):163–178. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.15688/ek.jvolsu.2022.4.14
7. Ivannikov N. S., Chulabi D. G. Economic and political factors affecting the rapprochement of Iran and the EAEU. Evraziiskaya integratsiya: ekonomika, pravo, politika = Eurasian Integration: Economics, Law, Politics. 2023;17(3):150–158. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.22394/2073-2929-2023-03-150-158
8. Breinlich H., Novy D., Santos Silva J. M.C. Trade, gravity, and aggregation. The Review of Economics and Statistics. 2024;106(5):1418–1426. DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_01234
Review
For citations:
Kozyrev A.S. Econometric Analysis for Russia-Iran Foreign Trade Relations. The world of new economy. 2025;19(1):63-71. https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2025-19-1-63-71
Views:
103
Email this article 