The Second Split in Economic Science (About 2018 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences)
https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2019-13-1-77-84
Abstract
In this article, I described the results of investigations achieved by two American economists William Nordhaus and Paul Romer. They have been awarded the 2018 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences mainly for the introduction of feedbacks in economic and mathematical modelling. Nordhaus “for integrating climate change into long-run macroeconomic analysis” where quantitative model describes the global interplay between the economy and the climate and integrates theories and empirical results from physics, chemistry and economics. Romer “for integrating technological innovations into the long-run macroeconomic analysis” where he shows how knowledge can function as a driver of long-term economic growth. I considered three blocks in the models of W. Nordhaus and P. Romer and the functions of each of them. Also, I discussed the assumptions that underlie their models. The author notes that climate change models are also being built in Russia, but there are no economic blocks in them, models of long-term economic growth with endogenous scientific and technological progress are formed in Russia also, but representatives of natural Sciences do not participate in them. Experience of the laureates shows that providing models of long-run economic development of the country and the world are necessary. The article also highlights P. Romer work on international Charter cities, the sources of world scientific and technological progress.
About the Author
Y. P. VoronovRussian Federation
Yuri P. Voronov — Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Novosibirsk, Russia
References
1. Griliches Z. Issues in Assessing the Contribution of Research and Development to Productivity Growth. In: R&D and Productivity: The Econometric Evidence. Zvi Griliches, ed. University of Chicago Press; 1998:17– 45. URL: www.nber.org/chapters/c8340.pdf.
2. Nordhaus W. The Climate Casino. Risk, Uncertainty and Economics for a Warming World. Yale University Press; 2015. 392 p.
3. Parkhomenko V. P. Analysis of Pareto-optimal efficiency of global warming prevention by geo-engineering methods. Komp’yuternye issledovaniya i modelirovanie. 2015;7(5):1097–1108. (In Russ.).
4. Vorontsovskii A. V. Historical aspects of economic growth modelling. Vestnik SPbGU. 2006;(2):63–74. (In Russ.).
5. Searle A. D., Goody C. S. Productivity changes in selected wartime shipbuilding programs. Monthly Labor Review. 1945;(6):1132–1147.
6. Asher H. Cost-Quantity Relationships in the Airframe Industry. RAND Corporation; 1956. 199 p. URL: https://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R291.html.
7. Wright T. P. Factors Affecting the Cost of Airplanes. Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences. 1967;(4):122–128.
8. Sheshinski E. Optimal accumulation with Learning by doing. In: Essays on the theory of optimal economic growth. K. Shell, ed. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT; 1967:31–52.
9. Lucas R. E. Making a miracle. Econometrica. 1993;(61):251–272.
10. Sharaev Yu. V. Theory of economic growth. Moscow: HSE; 2006. (In Russ.).
11. Mankiw N. G., Romer D., Weil D. N. A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth. NBER Working Paper No. 3541; 1990.
12. Komarova A. V., Pavshok O. V. Assessment of the contribution of human capital to the economic growth of the Russian regions (based on the Mankew-Romer-Weil model). Vestnik NGU. 2007;7(3):191–200. (In Russ.).
13. Romer P. M. Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth. The Journal of Political Economy. 1986;94(5):1002–1037.
14. Dagaev A. A. Economic growth and globalization of technological development. Menedzhment v Rossii i za rubezhom. 2008;(1):24–37. (In Russ.).
15. Spear S. E., Young W. Endogenous growth theory and models: The “First Wave”, 1952–1973, Bar-Ilan University Working Paper. No. 2016–02; 2016.
16. Grossman G. M., Helpman E. Endogenous Innovation in the Theory of Growth. The Journal of Economic Perspectives. 1994;8(1):23–44.
17. Grossman G. M., Helpman E. Quality Ladders and Product Cycles. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 1991;106:557–586.
18. Romer P. The Trouble with Macroeconomics. Commons Memorial Lecture of the Omicron Delta Epsilon Society; 2016. URL: https://www.hse.ru/data/2017/02/20/1167635768/The%20Trouble%20With%20Macroeconomics.pdf.
19. Voronov Yu. P. Bridge between microeconomics and macroeconomics (about the Nobel Prize in Economics 2015). EKO. 2016;(1):77–93. (In Russ.).
20. Voronov Y. P. Limits of success (about Nobel Prize in Economics 2009). EKO. 2010;(1):135–158. (In Russ.).
Review
For citations:
Voronov Y.P. The Second Split in Economic Science (About 2018 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences). The world of new economy. 2019;13(1):77-84. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26794/2220-6469-2019-13-1-77-84